ESPN's Bottom Line - Version 2.0

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

College Football Weekly Digest 14.9

Auburn hangs on to beat South Carolina
Ole Miss lost to LSU and suddenly the battle of Mississippi looks like it's an all or nothing for the Mississippi State Bulldogs as the Rebels will realistically only play the role of spoiler in the Egg Bowl.  This has been a very interesting College Football season so far and I look forward to watching the second half play out.

Tonight marks the initial rankings of the College Football Playoff Committee.  We will finally see how they start to think about how teams compare to one another and what really matters.  I couldn't be more excited that we are moving to a playoff system.  Well the only way I'd be more excited is if they used the patented SKOHRboard playoff system of 12 teams but we'll get to that later on this season.  

What concerns me is that we really have no idea how to value one conference over another outside of a handful of cross conference matchups.  For example, the Big10 has played two games against the SEC, five games against the Pac12, three games against the Big12, and four against the ACC.  This gives us such a small fraction of comparison to work with we are left with relatively independent spheres of relativity.  That means that by the end of the season I should probably be able to tell you roughly how five different sets of teams stack rank amongst themselves but when combined I am left with very little confidence of a how those five sets of teams are relative to one another.  

There are two ways to solve for this lack of knowledge.  The first is to schedule more inter-conference games and the second way is to expand the playoff.  Which do you think will happen first?

SKOHRboard's Heisman update for the week:
  1. Marcus Mariota - New leader in the clubhouse!
  2. Dak Prescott
  3. Ameer Abdullah
  4. Trevone Boykin, QB - TCU (first appearance on our list!)
  5. Golson
  6. Cooper
  7. Gordon
  8. Carden
  9. TBD - Gurley, RB - Georgia
  10. Kevin White, WR - West Virginia
SKOHRboard's Top 25
  1. Mississippi State
  2. Florida State +1
  3. Auburn +7
  4. Notre Dame
  5. Oregon+1
  6. Ole Miss -5
  7. Alabama -2
  8. TCU +1
  9. Georgia +3
  10. Michigan State -3
  11. Ohio State -2
  12. Kansas State -1
  13. Baylor +3
  14. LSU (NR)
  15. Arizona -1
  16. West Virginia -1
  17. Nebraska +1
  18. East Carolina -1
  19. Oklahoma
  20. Wisconsin (NR)
  21. Arizona State -8
  22. Utah -2
  23. USC -1
  24. Louisville -3
  25. Clemson -1

Dropouts: UCLA, Minnesota

SKOHRboard Picks from last week (P = Predicted, A = Actual Score):
  • P: ECU 52 UConn 13 A: ECU 31 UConn 21
  • P: Broncos 31 Chargers 20 A: Broncos 35 Chargers 21
  • P: Cincy 35 USF 18 A: Cincy 34 USF 17
  • P: Oregon 70 Cal 35 A: Oregon 59 Cal 41
  • P: Nebraska 24 Rutgers 20 A: Nebraska 42 Rutgers 24
  • P: Michigan State 42 Michigan 13 A: Michigan State 35 Michigan 11
  • P: LSU 17 Ole Miss 16 A: LSU 10 Ole Miss 7
  • P: Auburn 31 South Carolina 26 A: Auburn 42 South Carolina 35
  • P: Falcons 24 Lions 20 A: Lions 22 Falcons 21
  • P: Panthers 30 Seahawks 24 A: Seahawks 13 Panthers 9
  • P: Eagles 32 Cardinals 27 A: Cardinals 24 Eagles 20
  • P: Saints 42 Packers 38 A: Saints 44 Packers 23
  • P: Cowboys 31 Washington 13 A: Washington 20 Cowboys 17

Record for the week 9-4
Total record since Week 8: 9-4

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